The purpose of the work is to analyze the statistical information about fires to establish the dependence of the number of fires in the industrial and warehouse buildings on the frequency of scheduled inspections and, on this basis, to develop a methodology for justifying the optimal frequency of scheduled inspections of their fire safety status by the federal state fire supervision authorities of the Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia. For the first time, the mathematical models were obtained to determine the number of fires at industrial and warehouse protection facilities depending on the time elapsed since the last inspection, as well as to determine the number of fires at these protection facilities depending on the frequency of their scheduled inspections.
The scientific novelty of the work lies in the fact that for the first time, on a scientific basis, an original method for substantiating the optimal frequency of scheduled fire safety inspections of industrial and warehouse protection facilities was developed and tested.
The data obtained allows to substantiate on a scientific basis: the optimal frequency of scheduled inspections of the fire safety condition of industrial and warehouse buildings; the belonging of these objects of protection to the appropriate risk category, depending on the required frequency of their scheduled inspection; the required number of personnel of the federal state fire supervision bodies of the Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia for timely and high-quality inspection of the supervised protection objects. The results of the work also make it possible to justify the need to amend the Regulations on the Federal State Fire Supervision, approved by Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation dated April 12, 2012, № 290, in terms of establishing an alternative method to the Federal Law dated July 31, 2020, № 248-FZ for justifying the frequency of scheduled control (supervision) activities in relation to the objects of control and their assignment to the appropriate risk category.
2. On the protection of the rights of legal entities and individual entrepreneurs in the exercise of state control (supervision) and municipal control: Federal law of December 26 2008, № 294-FZ (as amended by the Federal Laws dated December 25, 2018 № 480-FZ, dated December 27, 2018, № 511-FZ). Available at: https://www.consultant.ru/document/cons_doc_LAW_83079/ (accessed: July 25, 2023). (In Russ.).
3. On fire safety: Federal Law of December 21, 1994 № 69-FZ (as amended on July 29, 2017, № 216-FZ). Available at: https://www.consultant.ru/document/cons_doc_LAW_5438/ (accessed: July 25, 2023). (In Russ.).
4. On the federal state fire supervision: Resolution of the Russian Federation Government of April 12, 2012 № 290 (as amended by resolutions of the Government of the Russian Federation dated October 24, 2015 № 1144, dated August 17, 2016, № 806, dated September 21, 2016 № 949, dated December 29, 2016, № 1535, dated June 29, 2017, № 774, dated May 26, 2018, № 601, from 12.21.2018 № 1622). Available at: https://base.garant.ru/70161266/ (accessed: July 25, 2023). (In Russ.).
5. On the state control (supervision) and municipal control in the Russian Federation: Federal Law of July 31, 2020 № 248-FZ. Available at: http://www.consultant.ru/document/cons_doc_LAW_358750/ (accessed: July 25, 2023). (In Russ.).
6. On the federal state fire supervision: Resolution of the Russian Federation Government of April 12, 2012 № 290 (as amended by the resolutions of the Government of the Russian Federation dated June 25, 2021, № 1016, dated December 1, 2021, № 2169, dated September 28, 2022, № 1708). Available at: https://www.consultant.ru/document/cons_doc_LAW_128492/19bd36e5d9b937659a8fe25e7d9265c503dfd027/ (accessed: July 25, 2023). (In Russ.).
7. Reforming of the compliance audits of the safety rules: international experience in implementing a risk-based approach. Available at: https://bstudy.net/628848/ekonomika/reformirovanie_proverok_sootvetstviya_pravilam_bezopasnosti_mezhdunarodnyy_opyt_vnedreniya_risk_orienti (accessed: July 17, 2023). (In Russ.).
8. Poroshin A.A., Kondashov A.A., Zobkov D.V., Ryzhikov A.I. Mathematical model for determining risk categories of protection objects in the field of fire safety. Aktualnye problemy pozharnoy bezopasnosti: materialy XXXII Mezhdunar. nauch.-prakt. konf. (Current problems of fire safety: materials of the 32 International scientific-practical conference). Moscow: VNIIPO, 2020. pp. 30–37. (In Russ.).
9. Matyushin A.V., Firsov A.G., Matyushin Yu.A., Goncharenko V.S. Methodology for the Distribution of Objects of Protection by Categories of Risk Causing Harm (Damage) to the Objects of Protection in Case of Fire. Bezopasnost Truda v Promyshlennosti = Occupational Safety in Industry. 2020. № 5. pp. 64–72. (In Russ.). DOI: 10.24000/0409-2961-2020-5-64-72
10. Matyushin A.V., Firsov A.G., Matyushin Yu.A., Goncharenko V.S. Risk-Oriented Model of the Distribution of Buildings (Structures) by Categories of Risk of Causing Harm (Damage) as the Result of Fire to Substantiate the Frequency of Scheduled Inspections of the Buildings (Structures). Bezopasnost Truda v Promyshlennosti = Occupational Safety in Industry. 2021. № 11. pp. 75–80. (In Russ.). DOI: 10.24000/0409-2961-2021-11-75-80
11. Hampton P. Reducing administrative burdens: effective inspection and enforcement. Available at: http://news.bbc.co.uk/nol/shared/bsp/hi/pdfs/ bud05hampton_ 150305_640.pdf (accessed: July 17, 2023).
12. Black J. Risk-based regulation: choices, practices and lessons being learnt. Risk and regulatory policy. Improving the governance of risk. Paris: OECD, 2010. pp. 185–237. DOI: 10.1787/9789264082939-11-en
13. Rutrell Yasin. How FDNY Uses Analytics to Find Potential Fire Traps. Available at: https://thousandpointsofright.blogspot.com/2013/08/fdny-analytics.html (accessed: July 25, 2023).
14. Saaty T. Mathematical Principles of Decision Making (Principia Mathematica Decernendi). Pittsburgh: RWS Publications, 2010. 615 p.
15. Matyushin A.V., Kondashov A.A., Matyushin Yu.A., Sibirko V.I. Technique for justification of optimum frequency of planned inspections of fire-prevention condition of objects of protection by bodies of GPN EMERCOM of Russia. Pozharnaya bezopasnost = Fire Safety. 2019. № 2. pp. 72–80. (In Russ.).
16. Klimov G.P. Theory of Probability and Mathematical Statistics. Moscow: MGU, 2011. 368 p. (In Russ.).
17. Fires and fire safety in 2021: static collection. Balashikha: FGBU VNIIPO MChS Rossii, 2022. 114 p. (In Russ.).