- The technical regulation on safety of buildings and facilities: Federal Law of December 30, 2009 № 384-FZ. Available at: http://www.consultant.ru/document/cons_doc_LAW_95720/ (accessed: March 25, 2020). (In Russ).
- GOST 27.002—2015. Dependability in technics. Terms and definitions. Available at: http://docs.cntd.ru/document/1200136419 (accessed: March 25, 2020). (In Russ.).
- Petrova I.M., Filimonov M.A., Lagutkin M.G. Assessment of the Probability of Mechanical Systems Failure Based on the Modeling of Their Technical Condition. Bezopasnost truda v promyshlennosti = Occupational Safety in Industry. 2020. № 2. pp. 12–17. (In Russ.). DOI: 10.24000/0409-2961-2020-2-12-17
- Mahutov N.A., Ivanov V.I., Musatov V.V. Application of Technical Diagnostics for Calculation of Failure Probability of Technical Devices and Accident Risk Assessment. Bezopasnost truda v promyshlennosti = Occupational Safety in Industry. 2018. № 9. pp. 53–64. (In Russ.). DOI: 10.24000/0409-2961-2018-9-53-64
- Chen Y. Reliability analysis of a fire alarm system. Procedia Engineering. 2011. Vol. 24. pp. 731–736.
- Chen D., Yao C., Feng Z. Reliability prediction method of hydraulic system by fuzzy theory. 6-th IFAC Symposium on Mechatronic Systems Proceedings. 2013. Vol. 46. Iss. 5. pp. 457–462.
- Abdelkrim С., Meridjet M.S., Boutasseta N., Boulanouar L. Detection and classification of bearing faults in industrial geared motors using temporal features and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system. Heliyon. 2019. № 5 (8). pp. 1–11. DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2019.e02046
- Xu X., Li S., Song X., Wen C., Xu D. The optimal design of industrial alarm systems based on evidence theory. Control Engineering Practice. 2016. № 46. pp. 142–156.
- Dempster A.P. Upper and lower probabilities induced by multivalued mapping. Annals of Mathematical Statistic. 1967. Vol. 38. № 2. pp. 325–329.
- Utkin L.V., Utkin V.S., Redkin A.N. Calculation of reliability of steel frames by the stability criterion for multiparametric loading with application of Chebyshev’s inequality. Nadezhnost = Reliability. 2011. № 3 (38). pp. 42–52. (In Russ.).
- Utkin L.V. Risk analysis and decision making in conditions of incomplete information. Saint-Petersburg: Nauka, 2007. 404 p. (In Russ.).
- Utkin V.S., Solovyev S.A. Calculation of structural elements reliability by the bearing capacity criterion with application of Dempster-Shafer evidence theory. Stroitelnaya mekhanika i raschet sooruzheniy = Structural mechanics and calculation of facilities. 2015. № 5 (262). pp. 38–44. (In Russ.).
- Bernard J.-M. Analysis of Local or Asymmetric Dependencies in Contingency Tables using the Imprecise Dirichlet Model. Proceedings of the 3rd International Symposium on Imprecise Probabilities and Their Applications. 2003. № 18. pp. 46–61.
- Rashid M.A., Mansur M.A. Reinforced high-strength concrete beams in flexure. ACI Structural Journal. 2005. Vol. 102. Iss. 3. pp. 462–471.
- SP 28.13330.2017. Protection against corrosion of construction. Updated edition of the Sanitary Norms and Rules (SNiP) 2.03.11—85. Available at: http://docs.cntd.ru/document/456069587 (accessed: March 25, 2020). (In Russ.).
- SP 63.13330.2018. Concrete and reinforced concrete structures. General provisions. SNiP 52-01—2003. Available at: http://docs.cntd.ru/document/554403082 (accessed: March 25, 2020). (In Russ.).
- Zhu B., Frangopol D.M. Reliability, redundancy and risk as performance indicators of structural systems during their life-cycle. Engineering Structures. 2012. № 41. pp. 34–49.
- Crespo L.G., Kenny S.P., Giesy D.P. Staircase predictor models for reliability and risk analysis. Structural Safety. 2018. № 75. pp. 35–44.
- Khoroshun E.G., Samchuk-Khabarova N.Ya., Esipov Yu.V. Development of the Methodology for the Limits of Acceptable Occupational Risk. Bezopasnost truda v promyshlennosti = Occupational Safety in Industry. 2019. № 6. pp. 86–89. (In Russ.). DOI: 10.24000/0409-2961-2019-6-86-89
Probabilistic Estimation of Industrial Safety with Incomplete Statistic Data
For citation.
Solovyev S.A. Probabilistic Estimation of Industrial Safety with Incomplete Statistic Data. Bezopasnost Truda v Promyshlennosti = Occupational Safety in Industry. — 2020. — № 9. — рр. 88-93. (In Russ.). DOI: 10.24000/0409-2961-2020-9-88-93
Year: 2020
Issue num: September
Keywords : safety reliability uncertainty failure probability Chebyshev’s inequality evidence theory
Authors:
-
Solovyev S.A.
Cand. Sci. (Eng.), Assoc. Prof., ser6sol@yandex.ru Vologda State University, Vologda, Russia